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    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 250507
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 AM EDT Tue Aug 25 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL95):
    An area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles
    east-northeast of Bermuda is moving northward at 15 to 20 mph.
    Recent scatterometer wind data suggests that the center of
    circulation is broad and elongated, and the associated shower
    activity remains disorganized. This system could still become a
    short-lived tropical depression or storm later today before
    encountering increasingly hostile conditions tonight and Wednesday,
    likely ending its chances for development.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL96):
    An area of low pressure centered a few hundred miles south-southeast
    of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and
    thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual
    development, and this system is likely to become a tropical
    depression during the next few days while it moves westward to
    west-northwestward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
    Environmental conditions could become less conducive for development
    by the weekend.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Adams


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Zone de formation probable