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    ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
    TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    1. Florida Peninsula into the Northeastern Gulf (AL93):
    Satellite and radar data indicate that the low pressure area
    previously over the Atlantic is moving onto the coast of
    northeastern Florida. This system is currently producing
    disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity, and little
    development is expected through tonight while the center is over
    land. Once the system reaches the northeastern Gulf on Wednesday,
    environmental conditions appear generally favorable for additional
    development, and a tropical depression could form while the system
    moves across the northeastern and north-central Gulf and approaches
    the coast of Louisiana on Thursday.

    Regardless of development, heavy rainfall could produce localized
    flash flooding over portions of Florida through Wednesday. Heavy
    rainfall could also cause flash flooding for portions of the
    north-central Gulf Coast beginning Wednesday and continuing through
    Friday. For additional information, please refer to products issued
    by your local National Weather Service office.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.



    Forecaster Beven


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Zone de formation probable